GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Nalchik are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sevastopol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 70.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Second League - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak NalchikWDLDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SevastopolWWWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak NalchikSevastopol
49.0Attack63.2
68.6Defence68.4
52.9Form73.7
57.2Power70.0
0.95xG1.13
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