Spartak Nalchikvs
Rostov II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Spartak Nalchik are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rostov II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and rostov II hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 1, favouring a draw with 14.1% confidence, a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
14.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80