Spartak NalchikvsAlaniya Vladikavkaz

Spartak Nalchik are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alaniya Vladikavkaz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Nalchik hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Cup, while Spartak Nalchik holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.