GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 3/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Moskva U19 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fakel U19 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moskva U19 hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Youth Championship, while Spartak Moskva U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moskva U19

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Spartak Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak Moskva U19DWWLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Fakel U19LWLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak Moskva U19Fakel U19
57.9Attack38.6
36.8Defence31.6
45.6Form19.3
47.8Power32.9
2.74xG1.30
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