GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 7/25/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Spartak Moscow are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rodina Moskva are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 72.3-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 17.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

62.3%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak MoscowLDWWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rodina MoskvaLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
83.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
89.7Power17.3
2.15xG0.90
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