GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Spartak Moscow are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Krylia Sovetov are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak MoscowWDDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Krylia SovetovLDWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
75.0Attack53.8
87.5Defence51.3
83.3Form46.2
81.1Power51.5
2.48xG0.94
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