GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Spartak Moscow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Krasnodar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

12.6%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak MoscowWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC KrasnodarDWWDD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
83.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form100.0
89.7Power86.5
1.66xG1.25
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