GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 8/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Spartak Moscow 2 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Irkutsk are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow 2 hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Second League - Group 2, while Spartak Moscow 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow 2

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

16.4%

Spartak Moscow 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak Moscow 2DLLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
IrkutskLLLDL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak Moscow 2Irkutsk
31.3Attack22.9
50.0Defence35.4
31.3Form22.9
40.5Power30.6
1.33xG0.69
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