Spartak Moscow 2vs
Cherepovets
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 4/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Spartak Moscow 2 are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cherepovets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cherepovets hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Second League - Group 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00