GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/31/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Volgar Astrakhan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Spartak Kostroma are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Volgar Astrakhan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Volgar Astrakhan hold a 33.3-point power-rating edge (19.4 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Volgar Astrakhan holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Volgar Astrakhan

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Volgar Astrakhan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak KostromaLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Volgar AstrakhanWDDLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Spartak KostromaVolgar Astrakhan
33.3Attack58.3
0.0Defence45.8
11.1Form50.0
19.4Power52.7
1.53xG2.25
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