GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rodina Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Kostroma are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rodina Moskva are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (19.4 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rodina Moskva holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rodina Moskva

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Rodina Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak KostromaLDLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rodina MoskvaLWDDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Spartak KostromaRodina Moskva
33.3Attack38.9
0.0Defence72.2
11.1Form50.0
19.4Power55.3
0.82xG1.54
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