GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Kostroma · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Spartak Kostroma are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while KAMAZ are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Kostroma hold a 42.9-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the First League, while Spartak Kostroma holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Kostroma

Probability

71.7%

Model confidence

71.7%

Spartak Kostroma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak KostromaLLDDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
KAMAZDLDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak KostromaKAMAZ
66.7Attack33.3
73.3Defence33.3
73.3Form11.1
72.4Power29.5
2.33xG0.65
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