Spartak Kostromavs
FC UFA
SCHEDULEDRussia · First League · 8/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Kostroma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Spartak Kostroma are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC UFA are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Kostroma hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the First League, while Spartak Kostroma holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Kostroma
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
13.0%
Spartak Kostroma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20