GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Kostroma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Spartak Kostroma are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC UFA are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Kostroma hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the First League, while Spartak Kostroma holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Kostroma

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

13.0%

Spartak Kostroma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak KostromaWDDWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC UFALDWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak KostromaFC UFA
66.7Attack46.7
73.3Defence60.0
73.3Form53.3
72.4Power54.1
1.59xG0.84
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