GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC UFA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Kostroma are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC UFA are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC UFA hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (19.4 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC UFA holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC UFA

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

FC UFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak KostromaWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC UFADWLDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak KostromaFC UFA
33.3Attack22.2
0.0Defence70.4
11.1Form44.4
19.4Power48.7
0.92xG1.23
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