GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/1/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Kostroma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Kostroma are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Enisey are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Kostroma hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the First League, while Spartak Kostroma holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Kostroma

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Spartak Kostroma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak KostromaDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EniseyWLWDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak KostromaEnisey
66.7Attack55.6
73.3Defence50.0
73.3Form50.0
72.4Power52.8
1.80xG0.94
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