GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Buxoro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Spartak Kostroma are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Buxoro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (19.4 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Buxoro

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

10.8%

Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak KostromaLDLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BuxoroWLDLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Spartak KostromaBuxoro
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence44.4
11.1Form33.3
19.4Power40.3
1.58xG1.79
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