GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MSV Duisburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sparta Rotterdam are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while MSV Duisburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 74.0 against 74.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while MSV Duisburg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MSV Duisburg

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

MSV Duisburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta RotterdamDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MSV DuisburgDLWWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg
100.0Attack95.2
61.1Defence76.2
72.2Form66.7
74.0Power74.6
1.78xG1.93
View match centre →