GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Rotterdam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Sparta Rotterdam are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Asteras Tripolis are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Rotterdam hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (74.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sparta Rotterdam holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Rotterdam

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Sparta Rotterdam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta RotterdamLLWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Asteras TripolisWDWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sparta RotterdamAsteras Tripolis
100.0Attack50.0
61.1Defence33.3
72.2Form16.7
74.0Power36.5
3.05xG1.18
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