Sparta Rotterdam IIvsJong AZ

Sparta Rotterdam II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jong AZ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jong AZ hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Jong AZ holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.