Sparta PrahavsLyon

Sparta Praha are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lyon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the UEFA Champions League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.