GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · 8/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Lichtenberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Sparta Lichtenberg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Mecklenburg Schwerin are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mecklenburg Schwerin hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord, while Sparta Lichtenberg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Lichtenberg

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

7.4%

Sparta Lichtenberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta LichtenbergDLWLL

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Mecklenburg SchwerinW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Sparta LichtenbergMecklenburg Schwerin
85.1Attack66.7
42.5Defence66.7
60.9Form100.0
61.7Power80.3
2.72xG1.90
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