GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Katowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sparta Katowice are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stilon Gorzów are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stilon Gorzów hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the III Liga - Group 3, while Sparta Katowice holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Katowice

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

12.7%

Sparta Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta KatowiceLWWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Stilon GorzówWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzów
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power56.2
1.53xG1.41
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