Sparta Katowicevs
Stilon Gorzów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Katowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sparta Katowice are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stilon Gorzów are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stilon Gorzów hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the III Liga - Group 3, while Sparta Katowice holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sparta Katowice
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
12.7%
Sparta Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60