GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spalding United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Spalding United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Oxford City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spalding United hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the National League - North, while Spalding United holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spalding United

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

13.8%

Spalding United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spalding UnitedWDWWD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Oxford CityWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Spalding UnitedOxford City
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power80.3
1.44xG1.10
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