GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spakenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Spakenburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sparta Rotterdam II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spakenburg hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (65.6 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Spakenburg holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spakenburg

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Spakenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpakenburgLWDWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sparta Rotterdam IIDWDLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
SpakenburgSparta Rotterdam II
100.0Attack77.8
50.0Defence0.0
58.3Form44.4
65.6Power40.6
2.99xG1.66
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