Spakenburgvs
Katwijk
LIVENetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spakenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Spakenburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Katwijk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spakenburg hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (76.0 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Tweede Divisie, while Spakenburg holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spakenburg
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
9.3%
Spakenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20