Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spaeri · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Spaeri are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rustavi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spaeri hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Spaeri holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spaeri
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
14.0%
Spaeri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00