Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spaeri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Spaeri are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Urartu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spaeri hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Spaeri holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spaeri
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Spaeri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60