GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Spaeri are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dinamo Tbilisi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and dinamo Tbilisi hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Erovnuli Liga, favouring a draw with 11.3% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.4%

Model confidence

11.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpaeriDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo TbilisiLWDWW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SpaeriDinamo Tbilisi
43.9Attack75.8
56.1Defence54.5
38.6Form69.7
47.2Power67.3
1.20xG1.94
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