Southportvs
Fleetwood Town
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Southport are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fleetwood Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Southport hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Southport holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Southport
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
12.9%
Southport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80