GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Southport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Southport are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fleetwood Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Southport hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Southport holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Southport

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

12.9%

Southport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SouthportWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fleetwood TownWWDDD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SouthportFleetwood Town
58.3Attack53.3
75.0Defence73.3
83.3Form53.3
75.3Power60.1
1.58xG1.24
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