Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southend · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Southend are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while West Ham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Southend hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Southend holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Southend
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60