Southendvs
Scunthorpe
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southend · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Southend are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Scunthorpe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Southend hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the National League, while Southend holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Southend
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
12.6%
Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80