GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/22/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Southend · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Southend are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Northampton are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Southend hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Southend holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Southend

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SouthendDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NorthamptonDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SouthendNorthampton
61.1Attack33.3
77.8Defence33.3
72.2Form33.3
69.4Power36.8
2.46xG0.90
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