Southendvs
Northampton
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/22/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southend · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Southend are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Northampton are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Southend hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Southend holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Southend
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40