Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southend · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Southend are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aveley are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Southend hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Southend holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Southend
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60