South Shieldsvs
Chorley
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Shields · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
South Shields are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chorley are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and South Shields hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the National League - North, while South Shields holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Shields
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
12.8%
South Shields has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80