South Melbournevs
St. Albans Saints
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 8/2/2026, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Melbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
South Melbourne are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while St. Albans Saints are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Victoria NPL, while South Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Melbourne
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60