GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 7/18/2026, 5:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preston Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

South Melbourne are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Preston Lions are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Victoria NPL, while Preston Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preston Lions

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

14.3%

Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South MelbourneWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Preston LionsWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
South MelbournePreston Lions
52.8Attack50.0
54.2Defence72.7
56.9Form65.2
54.7Power63.6
0.96xG1.31
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