South Melbournevs
Green Gully
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 6/28/2026, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Melbourne · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
South Melbourne are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Green Gully are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the Victoria NPL, while South Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Melbourne
Probability
74.3%
Model confidence
74.3%
South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80