GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 6/28/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Melbourne · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

South Melbourne are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Green Gully are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the Victoria NPL, while South Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Melbourne

Probability

74.3%

Model confidence

74.3%

South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South MelbourneWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Green GullyLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
South MelbourneGreen Gully
52.8Attack27.8
54.2Defence31.9
56.9Form20.8
54.7Power29.3
2.54xG0.67
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