South Melbournevs
Dandenong City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 3/31/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Melbourne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
South Melbourne are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dandenong City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Victoria NPL, while South Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Melbourne
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00