South Hobartvs
Launceston United
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 5/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Hobart · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
South Hobart are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Launceston United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 5.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 65.5-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 17.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.8% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Hobart
Probability
92.8%
Model confidence
92.8%
South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 4 · avg 4.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 26 · avg 1.20/5.20