GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

South Hobart are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Launceston United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 5.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 65.5-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 17.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.8% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

92.8%

Model confidence

92.8%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South HobartDWWWW

GF 24 · GA 4 · avg 4.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston UnitedLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 26 · avg 1.20/5.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
South HobartLaunceston United
100.0Attack31.5
70.4Defence0.0
87.0Form9.3
83.0Power17.5
4.50xG0.51
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