GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

South Hobart are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Launceston City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

82.2%

Model confidence

82.2%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South HobartWWLWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Launceston CityDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South HobartLaunceston City
100.0Attack71.9
70.4Defence35.1
87.0Form56.1
83.0Power52.9
4.50xG1.24
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