GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/21/2026, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South HobartWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Kingborough LionsWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
South HobartKingborough Lions
100.0Attack91.2
70.4Defence68.4
87.0Form75.4
83.0Power74.6
2.15xG1.67
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