South Hobartvs
Kingborough Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 3/21/2026, 2:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Hobart
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40