GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 6/27/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

South Hobart are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 44.1-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.3% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

90.3%

Model confidence

90.3%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South HobartDWWDW

GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Glenorchy KnightsLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South HobartGlenorchy Knights
100.0Attack42.6
70.4Defence38.9
87.0Form31.5
83.0Power39.0
4.50xG0.70
View match centre →