South Hobartvs
Devonport City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 5/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Devonport City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Hobart
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60