GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 7/5/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

South East Utd. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while South Hobart are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 50.4-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 83.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

87.1%

Model confidence

87.1%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South East Utd.LWLLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
South HobartWDWWD

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
South East Utd.South Hobart
48.1Attack100.0
5.6Defence70.4
38.9Form87.0
32.7Power83.0
0.92xG4.50
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