GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 7/19/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South East Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

South East Utd. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Launceston United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and South East Utd. hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 17.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while South East Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South East Utd.

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

South East Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South East Utd.LWLWL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Launceston UnitedLDWLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South East Utd.Launceston United
48.1Attack31.5
5.6Defence0.0
38.9Form9.3
32.7Power17.5
3.35xG1.68
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