GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 6/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Glenorchy Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

South East Utd. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Glenorchy Knights hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Tasmania NPL, while Glenorchy Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Glenorchy Knights

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Glenorchy Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South East Utd.LLWLW

GF 9 · GA 20 · avg 1.80/4.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Glenorchy KnightsDLWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
South East Utd.Glenorchy Knights
48.1Attack42.6
5.6Defence38.9
38.9Form31.5
32.7Power39.0
2.02xG2.39
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