GGOALVIO

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Women · 8/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nigeria W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

South Africa W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nigeria W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nigeria W hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 82.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Africa Cup of Nations - Women, while Nigeria W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nigeria W

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

14.1%

Nigeria W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South Africa WLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nigeria WLWWLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South Africa WNigeria W
50.0Attack77.8
77.8Defence83.3
50.0Form88.9
58.6Power82.5
1.03xG1.37
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