South Adelaide Panthersvs
Adelaide Victory
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia State League 1 · 8/15/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
South Adelaide Panthers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Adelaide Victory are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Adelaide Victory
Probability
70.4%
Model confidence
8.8%
Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80