GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 8/15/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

South Adelaide Panthers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Adelaide Victory are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Victory

Probability

70.4%

Model confidence

8.8%

Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South Adelaide PanthersWLLDL

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Adelaide VictoryLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
South Adelaide PanthersAdelaide Victory
39.7Attack58.7
6.3Defence47.6
23.8Form52.4
26.7Power52.5
1.27xG3.08
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