Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sotra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Sotra are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Træff are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sotra hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 33.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Sotra holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sotra
Probability
69.0%
Model confidence
12.1%
Sotra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20