Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sorrento · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sorrento are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Balcatta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sorrento hold a 62.9-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 17.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sorrento holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sorrento
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Sorrento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40